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Both BC and Alberta are experiencing labour shortages. Unemployment is at or near record lows, and wages are moving upward. The question is whether wages in BC are keeping up with those in Alberta, and what implication this has for shortages in BC over the next year. Let's have a look at the data.
Wages in Alberta continue to outpace what BC employers are offering. Over the past year, wages increased by 5.7% compared with only 3.5% in BC.
As a result, the average Albertan now earns $22.33 per hour, while in BC, the average wage is $20.37. That's a record gap of $1.96. Ten years ago, it was the other way around, where BC workers earned $2 more than workers in Alberta. And as the graph shows, this turnaround has accelerated over the past three years.
While the oil patch is said to be responsible for Alberta's wage growth, the data shows that wage increases were across most industries. In particular, on an annual basis*, employees in Food and Accommodation saw their wages increase by 11.3% in Alberta compared with 4.1% in BC. Similarly, workers in Retail and Wholesale Trade in Alberta saw their wages increase by 7.7%, compared with 3.9% in BC.
For 2008, the Conference Board of Canada, in their latest Provincial Economic Outlook, is forecasting wage increases of 2.9% for BC and 3.1% for Alberta. So expect the gap between Alberta and BC wages to widen, meaning that labour shortages in BC will continue to remain a critical issue.
* Sept/06-Aug/07 compared with Sept/05-Aug/06


Legend:
MC(#) = Absolute Monthly Change
MC(%) = Percentage Monthly Change
YC(#) = Absolute Yearly Change
YC(%) = Percentage Yearly Change
"- -" = indicates number suppressed due to high sample variance
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | MC (%) | YC (#) | YC (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population 15+ (000) | 3,585.2 | 3,578.4 | 3,524.0 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 61.2 | 1.7 |
| Labour Force (000) | 2,369.5 | 2,359.8 | 2,314.9 | 9.7 | 0.4 | 54.6 | 2.4 |
| Employed (000) | 2,266.8 | 2,265.9 | 2,202.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 64.1 | 2.9 |
| Emp-Full-Time (000) | 1,820.0 | 1,816.5 | 1,772.6 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 47.4 | 2.7 |
| Emp-Part-Time (000) | 446.8 | 449.4 | 430.1 | -2.6 | -0.6 | 16.7 | 3.9 |
| Unemployed (000) | 102.6 | 93.9 | 112.2 | 8.7 | 9.3 | -9.6 | -8.6 |
| Unemployment Rate (%) | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 0.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Participation Rate (%) | 66.1 | 65.9 | 65.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||
| Employment Rate (%) | 63.2 | 63.3 | 62.5 | -0.1 | 0.7 |
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | MC (%) | YC (#) | YC (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Industry (000) | 2,266.8 | 2,265.9 | 2,202.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 64.1 | 2.9 |
| Goods-Producing | 502.7 | 490.4 | 465.4 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 37.3 | 8.0 |
| Agriculture | 37.9 | 34.4 | 34.0 | 3.5 | 10.2 | 3.9 | 11.5 |
| Forestry, Fishing, Mining, Oil & Gas | 45.0 | 46.9 | 47.3 | -1.9 | -4.1 | -2.3 | -4.9 |
| Utilities | 10.6 | 11.4 | 8.9 | -0.8 | -7.0 | 1.7 | 19.1 |
| Construction | 199.6 | 196.3 | 183.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 16.6 | 9.1 |
| Manufacturing | 209.6 | 201.4 | 192.1 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 17.5 | 9.1 |
| Service-Producing | 1,764.2 | 1,775.5 | 1,737.3 | -11.3 | -0.6 | 26.9 | 1.5 |
| Trade | 366.3 | 379.2 | 349.1 | -12.9 | -3.4 | 17.2 | 4.9 |
| Transport & Warehousing | 120.8 | 123.6 | 115.3 | -2.8 | -2.3 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Fin, Ins, Real Estate, Leasing | 143.8 | 149.2 | 141.1 | -5.4 | -3.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Prof, Sci, Tech Services | 162.7 | 168.2 | 170.3 | -5.5 | -3.3 | -7.6 | -4.5 |
| Mngmt, Admin, Other Support | 103.2 | 93.7 | 108.8 | 9.5 | 10.1 | -5.6 | -5.1 |
| Education Services | 159.3 | 143.6 | 157.6 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Health/Social Ass't | 236.5 | 235.3 | 238.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| Info, Culture & Rec | 113.5 | 117.5 | 108.4 | -4.0 | -3.4 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Accom & food serv | 172.8 | 182.9 | 171.9 | -10.1 | -5.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Other Services | 88.5 | 88.4 | 90.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
| Public Admin | 96.9 | 93.9 | 86.7 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | MC (%) | YC (#) | YC (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 2,266.8 | 2,265.9 | 2,202.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 64.1 | 2.9 |
| Employee (000) | 1,846.7 | 1,833.3 | 1,776.3 | 13.4 | 0.7 | 70.4 | 4.0 |
| Public | 402.0 | 393.4 | 399.4 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Private | 1,444.7 | 1,440.0 | 1,376.9 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 67.8 | 4.9 |
| Self-Employed (000) | 420.1 | 432.6 | 426.3 | -12.5 | -2.9 | -6.2 | -1.5 |
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | YC (#) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both - 15+ Yrs | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
| Both - 15-24 Yrs | 8.1 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 1.9 | -0.1 |
| Both - 25+ Yrs | 3.6 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.1 | -0.6 |
| Men - 15+ Yrs | 3.7 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 0.1 | -1.3 |
| Men - 15-24 Yrs | 7.1 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -2.4 |
| Men - 25+ Yrs | 3.1 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | -1.1 |
| Women - 15+ Yrs | 5.0 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Women - 15-24 Yrs | 9.1 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Women - 25+ Yrs | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | YC (#) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 13.6 | 13.7 | 14.1 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| Prince Edward Island | 10.5 | 10.2 | 10.7 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
| Nova Scotia | 8.0 | 8.9 | 7.8 | -0.9 | 0.2 |
| New Brunswick | 8.2 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 0.5 | -0.6 |
| Quebec | 6.9 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| Ontario | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| Manitoba | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
| Saskatchewan | 3.8 | 4.9 | 4.2 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| Alberta | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| British Columbia | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
| Abbotsford | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 |
| Vancouver | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| Victoria | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| September 2007 | August 2007 | September 2006 | MC (#) | YC (#) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.5 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| British Columbia | 4.3 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -0.7 |
| 910 Vancouver Island | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 0.3 | -0.6 |
| 920 Lower Mainland - SW | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| 930 Thompson Okanagan | 4.1 | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| 940 Kootenay | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.1 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| 950 Cariboo | 5.4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
| 960/970 N. Coast/Nechako | 7.0 | 7.4 | 6.5 | -0.4 | 0.5 |
| 980 Northeast | - - | - - | 4.2 | - - | - - |
| Vancouver CMA | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| Victoria CMA | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Abbotsford (Matsqui) | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |