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Labour Force Survey - September 2007

Highlights


Wage Increases and Labour Shortages

Both BC and Alberta are experiencing labour shortages. Unemployment is at or near record lows, and wages are moving upward. The question is whether wages in BC are keeping up with those in Alberta, and what implication this has for shortages in BC over the next year. Let's have a look at the data.

Wages in Alberta continue to outpace what BC employers are offering. Over the past year, wages increased by 5.7% compared with only 3.5% in BC.

As a result, the average Albertan now earns $22.33 per hour, while in BC, the average wage is $20.37. That's a record gap of $1.96. Ten years ago, it was the other way around, where BC workers earned $2 more than workers in Alberta. And as the graph shows, this turnaround has accelerated over the past three years.

While the oil patch is said to be responsible for Alberta's wage growth, the data shows that wage increases were across most industries. In particular, on an annual basis*, employees in Food and Accommodation saw their wages increase by 11.3% in Alberta compared with 4.1% in BC. Similarly, workers in Retail and Wholesale Trade in Alberta saw their wages increase by 7.7%, compared with 3.9% in BC.

For 2008, the Conference Board of Canada, in their latest Provincial Economic Outlook, is forecasting wage increases of 2.9% for BC and 3.1% for Alberta. So expect the gap between Alberta and BC wages to widen, meaning that labour shortages in BC will continue to remain a critical issue.

* Sept/06-Aug/07 compared with Sept/05-Aug/06

Average Hourly Wages, BC and Alberta
Gap between Hourly Wage Rates between BC and Alberta

Summary of Labour Force Survey Results

Legend:
MC(#) = Absolute Monthly Change
MC(%) = Percentage Monthly Change
YC(#) = Absolute Yearly Change
YC(%) = Percentage Yearly Change
"- -" = indicates number suppressed due to high sample variance

Summary Data - BC - 1 Month (Seasonally Adj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) MC (%) YC (#) YC (%)
Population 15+ (000) 3,585.2 3,578.4 3,524.0 6.8 0.2 61.2 1.7
Labour Force (000) 2,369.5 2,359.8 2,314.9 9.7 0.4 54.6 2.4
Employed (000) 2,266.8 2,265.9 2,202.7 0.9 0.0 64.1 2.9
Emp-Full-Time (000) 1,820.0 1,816.5 1,772.6 3.5 0.2 47.4 2.7
Emp-Part-Time (000) 446.8 449.4 430.1 -2.6 -0.6 16.7 3.9
Unemployed (000) 102.6 93.9 112.2 8.7 9.3 -9.6 -8.6
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.3 4.0 4.8 0.3 -0.5
Participation Rate (%) 66.1 65.9 65.7 0.2 0.4
Employment Rate (%) 63.2 63.3 62.5 -0.1 0.7

Employment by Industry - BC - 1 Month (Seasonally Adj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) MC (%) YC (#) YC (%)
Total Industry (000) 2,266.8 2,265.9 2,202.7 0.9 0.0 64.1 2.9
Goods-Producing 502.7 490.4 465.4 12.3 2.5 37.3 8.0
Agriculture 37.9 34.4 34.0 3.5 10.2 3.9 11.5
Forestry, Fishing, Mining,
Oil & Gas
45.0 46.9 47.3 -1.9 -4.1 -2.3 -4.9
Utilities 10.6 11.4 8.9 -0.8 -7.0 1.7 19.1
Construction 199.6 196.3 183.0 3.3 1.7 16.6 9.1
Manufacturing 209.6 201.4 192.1 8.2 4.1 17.5 9.1
Service-Producing 1,764.2 1,775.5 1,737.3 -11.3 -0.6 26.9 1.5
Trade 366.3 379.2 349.1 -12.9 -3.4 17.2 4.9
Transport & Warehousing 120.8 123.6 115.3 -2.8 -2.3 5.5 4.8
Fin, Ins, Real Estate, Leasing 143.8 149.2 141.1 -5.4 -3.6 2.7 1.9
Prof, Sci, Tech Services 162.7 168.2 170.3 -5.5 -3.3 -7.6 -4.5
Mngmt, Admin, Other Support 103.2 93.7 108.8 9.5 10.1 -5.6 -5.1
Education Services 159.3 143.6 157.6 15.7 10.9 1.7 1.1
Health/Social Ass't 236.5 235.3 238.1 1.2 0.5 -1.6 -0.7
Info, Culture & Rec 113.5 117.5 108.4 -4.0 -3.4 5.1 4.7
Accom & food serv 172.8 182.9 171.9 -10.1 -5.5 0.9 0.5
Other Services 88.5 88.4 90.0 0.1 0.1 -1.5 -1.7
Public Admin 96.9 93.9 86.7 3.0 3.2 10.2 11.8

Employment by Sector - BC - 1 Month (Seasonally Adj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) MC (%) YC (#) YC (%)
Total 2,266.8 2,265.9 2,202.7 0.9 0.0 64.1 2.9
Employee (000) 1,846.7 1,833.3 1,776.3 13.4 0.7 70.4 4.0
Public 402.0 393.4 399.4 8.6 2.2 2.6 0.7
Private 1,444.7 1,440.0 1,376.9 4.7 0.3 67.8 4.9
Self-Employed (000) 420.1 432.6 426.3 -12.5 -2.9 -6.2 -1.5

Unemployment Rates by Age & Sex - BC - 1 Month (Seasonally Adj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) YC (#)
Both - 15+ Yrs 4.3 4.0 4.8 0.3 -0.5
Both - 15-24 Yrs 8.1 6.2 8.2 1.9 -0.1
Both - 25+ Yrs 3.6 3.5 4.2 0.1 -0.6
Men - 15+ Yrs 3.7 3.6 5.0 0.1 -1.3
Men - 15-24 Yrs 7.1 6.5 9.5 0.6 -2.4
Men - 25+ Yrs 3.1 3.1 4.2 0.0 -1.1
Women - 15+ Yrs 5.0 4.4 4.7 0.6 0.3
Women - 15-24 Yrs 9.1 5.9 7.0 3.2 2.1
Women - 25+ Yrs 4.2 4.1 4.2 0.1 0.0

Unemployment Rates - Provinces - 1 Month (Seasonally Adj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) YC (#)
Canada 5.9 6.0 6.4 -0.1 -0.5
Newfoundland and Labrador 13.6 13.7 14.1 -0.1 -0.5
Prince Edward Island 10.5 10.2 10.7 0.3 -0.2
Nova Scotia 8.0 8.9 7.8 -0.9 0.2
New Brunswick 8.2 7.7 8.8 0.5 -0.6
Quebec 6.9 7.0 8.0 -0.1 -1.1
Ontario 6.2 6.4 6.6 -0.2 -0.4
Manitoba 4.2 4.2 4.4 0.0 -0.2
Saskatchewan 3.8 4.9 4.2 -1.1 -0.4
Alberta 3.6 3.5 3.5 0.1 0.1
British Columbia 4.3 4.0 4.8 0.3 -0.5
Abbotsford 4.4 4.5 4.1 -0.1 0.3
Vancouver 3.7 3.8 4.2 -0.1 -0.5
Victoria 3.8 3.6 3.7 0.2 0.1

Unemployment Rates - BC Economic Regions - 3 Month Avg. (unadj.)
September 2007 August 2007 September 2006 MC (#) YC (#)
Canada 6.0 6.1 6.5 -0.1 -0.5
British Columbia 4.3 4.3 5.0 0.0 -0.7
910 Vancouver Island 4.3 4.0 4.9 0.3 -0.6
920 Lower Mainland - SW 4.2 4.2 4.7 0.0 -0.5
930 Thompson Okanagan 4.1 4.7 5.7 -0.6 -1.6
940 Kootenay 5.6 5.8 5.1 -0.2 0.5
950 Cariboo 5.4 5.7 6.3 -0.3 -0.9
960/970 N. Coast/Nechako 7.0 7.4 6.5 -0.4 0.5
980 Northeast - - - - 4.2 - - - -
Vancouver CMA 4.2 4.2 4.7 0.0 -0.5
Victoria CMA 4.3 4.1 4.1 0.2 0.2
Abbotsford (Matsqui) 4.6 4.4 4.1 0.2 0.5


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